Redefining Carbon Accountability: The Impact of Consumption-Based Accounting on Indonesia Climate Policy and Carbon Trading Potential

Mohammad Amin Rasyidi (1) , Arief Anwar Hidayat (2)
(1) Directorate of State Assets Policy Formulation, DGSAM, Ministry of Finance, Jakarta, Indonesia, Indonesia,
(2) Inspectorate General, Ministry of Finance, Jakarta, Indonesia, Indonesia

Abstract

Research Originality – This research distinguishes itself by pivoting from traditional carbon accounting to a more nuanced quantification of the fiscal implications inherent in export-embedded emissions. While the bulk of existing literature remains focused on the experiences of developed nations, this study explicitly links CBA to Indonesia’s domestic carbon trading potential and its strategic roadmap toward net-zero.


Research Objectives – This study aims to examine how a shift toward CBA might reshape Indonesia’s climate policy and carbon trading potential by quantifying emissions linked to international trade.


Research Methods – The study uses an environmentally extended Single-Region Input-Output (SRIO) analysis. The dataset spans two decades (2000-2022) and covers 35 industrial sectors. This approach was made possible by integrating two Input-Output datasets: World Input-Output Database and the Asian Development Bank, integrated along environmental accounts for CO₂ emissions.


Empirical Result – Roughly 24% of Indonesia’s total carbon emissions are actually embedded in its net exports. By transitioning from PBA to a CBA framework, Indonesia could convert these export-related emissions into tradable carbon credits. This could potentially unlock a revenue stream of approximately USD 6.89 billion per year.


Implications – These findings provide an evidence-based framework for the Indonesian government to strengthen its leverage in global carbon markets and meet 2060 net-zero emissions target more aggressively. Theoretically, this paper contributes to the expanding field of carbon responsibility, demonstrating that CBA can be a vital tool for strengthening equity and transparency in global emissions accounting.

Full text article

Generated from XML file

References

Afionis, S., Sakai, M., Scott, K., Barrett, J., & Gouldson, A. (2017). Consumption-based carbon accounting: does it have a future? In Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change (Vol. 8, Number 1). Wiley-Blackwell. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.438

Akomea-Frimpong, I., Agyekum, A. K., Amoakwa, A. B., Babon-Ayeng, P., & Pariafsai, F. (2024). Toward the attainment of climate-smart PPP infrastructure projects: a critical review and recommendations. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26(8), 19195–19229. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-03464-x

Amheka, A., Nguyen, H. T., Yu, K. D., Noach, R. M., Andiappan, V., Dacanay, V. J., & Aviso, K. (2022). Towards a low-carbon ASEAN: An environmentally extended MRIO optimization model. Carbon Balance and Management, 17(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-022-00213-x

Asian Development Bank. (2023). Indonesia: Input-Output Economic Indicators (National Input-Output Tables). https://data.adb.org/media/2231/download

Corsatea, T., Lindner, S., Arto, I., Roman, M. V., Rueda Cantuche, J., Velázquez Afonso, A., De Amores Hernández, A., & Neuwahl, F. (2019). World input-output database environmental accounts. Publications Office of the European Union. https://doi.org/10.2760/024036 (online)

Davis, S. J., & Caldeira, K. (2010). Consumption-based accounting of CO2 emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107(12), 5687–5692. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0906974107

Feinberg, A. (2026). Time Left to Critical Climate Feedback/Loops: Annual Solar Geoengineering-PLUS, Pathways to Planetary Self-Cooling. Climate, 14(2). https://doi.org/10.3390/cli14020037

Imansyah, M. H., Putranti, T., & Mangkurat, L. (2017). The identification of key sector in CO2 emissions in production perspective of Indonesia: An input-output analysis. International Journal of Sustainable Future for Human Security, 5(2), 21–29. https://doi.org/10.24910/jsustain/5.2/2129

Indonesian Government. (2014). Government Regulation Number 79 of 2014 on National Energy Policy

Indonesian Government. (2021). Law Number 7 of 2021 on the Harmonization of Tax Regulations

International Energy Agency. (2022). CO2 Emissions in 2022. www.iea.org

IPCC. (2023). Sections. In: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II, and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)]. (P. Arias, M. Bustamante, I. Elgizouli, G. Flato, M. Howden, C. Méndez-Vallejo, J. J. Pereira, R. Pichs-Madruga, S. K. Rose, Y. Saheb, R. Sánchez Rodríguez, D. Ürge-Vorsatz, C. Xiao, N. Yassaa, J. Romero, J. Kim, E. F. Haites, Y. Jung, R. Stavins, … C. Péan, Eds.). https://doi.org/10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647

Irfany, M. I., & Klasen, S. (2017). Affluence and emission tradeoffs: Evidence from Indonesian households’ carbon footprint. Environment and Development Economics, 22(5), 546–570. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X17000262

Kamil, A. S., Setyaningrum, L., Lesmana, A. C., Putri, M. S., Negara, S., Susiati, H., & Anggoro, Y. D. (2023). Regional impact analysis of carbon tax implementation on Indonesia’s coal power plant with interregional input-output method. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 13(3), 149–157. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.14115

Kementerian Keuangan. (2024). APBN 2025: Pemerintah berkomitmen untuk mengakselerasi pertumbuhan ekonomi yang inklusif dan berkelanjutan. Kementerian Keuangan. https://www.kemenkeu.go.id/informasi-publik/publikasi/siaran-pers/Siaran-Pers-APBN-2025

Meng, B., Liu, Y., Gao, Y., Li, M., Wang, Z., Xue, J., Andrew, R., Feng, K., Qi, Y., Sun, Y., Sun, H., & Wang, K. (2023). Developing countries’ responsibilities for CO2 emissions in value chains are larger and growing faster than those of developed countries. One Earth, 6(2), 167–181. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.01.006

Miller, R. E., & Blair, P. D. (2009). Input-output analysis: foundations and extensions. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511626982

Pecl, G. T., Araújo, M. B., Bell, J. D., Blanchard, J., Bonebrake, T. C., Chen, I. C., Clark, T. D., Colwell, R. K., Danielsen, F., Evengård, B., Falconi, L., Ferrier, S., Frusher, S., Garcia, R. A., Griffis, R. B., Hobday, A. J., Janion-Scheepers, C., Jarzyna, M. A., Jennings, S., … Williams, S. E. (2017). Biodiversity redistribution under climate change: Impacts on ecosystems and human well-being. In Science (Vol. 355, Number 6332). American Association for the Advancement of Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aai9214

Romanello, M., Walawender, M., Hsu, S. C., Moskeland, A., Palmeiro-Silva, Y., Scamman, D., Ali, Z., Ameli, N., Angelova, D., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Basart, S., Beagley, J., Beggs, P. J., Blanco-Villafuerte, L., Cai, W., Callaghan, M., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Chambers, J. D., Chicmana-Zapata, V., … Costello, A. (2024). The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: facing record-breaking threats from delayed action. In The Lancet (Vol. 404, Number 10465, pp. 1847–1896). Elsevier B.V. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01822-1

Rum, I. A., Tukker, A., Hoekstra, R., Koning, A. de, & Yusuf, A. A. (2024). Exploring carbon footprints and carbon intensities of Indonesian provinces in a domestic and global context. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 12. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2024.1325089

Timmer, M. P., Dietzenbacher, E., Los, B., Stehrer, R., & de Vries, G. J. (2015). An illustrated user guide to the world input-output database: The case of global automotive production. Review of International Economics, 23(3), 575–605. https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12178

United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC). (2022). Enhanced nationally determined contribution republic of Indonesia 2022. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2022-09/23.09.2022_Enhanced%20NDC%20Indonesia.pdf

Weiskopf, S. R., Rubenstein, M. A., Crozier, L. G., Gaichas, S., Griffis, R., Halofsky, J. E., Hyde, K. J. W., Morelli, T. L., Morisette, J. T., Muñoz, R. C., Pershing, A. J., Peterson, D. L., Poudel, R., Staudinger, M. D., Sutton-Grier, A. E., Thompson, L., Vose, J., Weltzin, J. F., & Whyte, K. P. (2020). Climate change effects on biodiversity, ecosystems, ecosystem services, and natural resource management in the United States. In Science of the Total Environment (Vol. 733). Elsevier B.V. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137782

World Bank. (2024a). State and Trends of Carbon Pricing Dashboard. World Bank Group. https://carbonpricingdashboard.worldbank.org/compliance/price

World Bank. (2024b, March 13). GDP Ranking. https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/search/dataset/0038130

World Bank. (2024c, March 13). Population Ranking. https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/search/dataset/0038126/Population-ranking

Authors

Mohammad Amin Rasyidi
mohammad.rasyidi.23@ucl.ac.uk (Primary Contact)
Arief Anwar Hidayat
Rasyidi, M. A., & Hidayat, A. A. (2026). Redefining Carbon Accountability: The Impact of Consumption-Based Accounting on Indonesia Climate Policy and Carbon Trading Potential. Indonesian Treasury Review: Jurnal Perbendaharaan, Keuangan Negara Dan Kebijakan Publik, 11(2), 112–122. https://doi.org/10.33105/itrev.v11i2.1362

Article Details

No Related Submission Found